Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 230.847336 259.913960 292.108460 330.568308 375.465710 426.465935 489.129302
2025-02-23 182.795143 220.134249 265.120886 323.924780 399.667652 495.201414 626.845645
2025-03-02 161.385291 203.457219 257.177018 332.036703 435.667681 577.162785 790.559091
2025-03-09 143.916412 187.891900 246.616876 332.687485 458.975702 643.110036 943.073680
2025-03-16 128.569413 172.620473 233.614346 326.793287 470.331852 691.705566 1077.597940
2025-03-23 118.350026 162.955790 226.779048 328.072495 491.385631 757.119831 1252.048449
2025-03-30 107.835776 151.597302 215.942367 321.393574 498.151433 799.461552 1394.652790
2025-04-06 100.087057 143.464491 208.899971 319.460877 511.860804 855.128506 1574.307674
2025-04-13 90.643753 131.876212 195.314706 305.074493 501.794235 865.765698 1665.713656
2025-04-20 87.543782 129.792083 196.447800 315.349544 536.794407 966.682856 1974.517085
2025-04-27 85.252440 128.733371 199.039140 328.292613 578.449260 1088.428095 2367.271249
2025-05-04 80.937787 124.008440 195.027616 328.802836 595.949644 1163.075247 2668.588483
2025-05-11 75.382290 116.918985 186.551479 320.457760 595.174779 1199.338622 2886.494121
2025-05-18 70.655379 110.903672 179.478231 314.070143 597.707083 1244.094747 3145.485420
2025-05-25 68.516054 109.135046 179.738548 321.878076 631.704290 1370.563007 3696.219835
2025-06-01 65.531837 105.665227 176.601218 322.504396 649.824007 1461.675787 4174.958118
2025-06-08 61.961773 100.911978 170.707870 316.831346 652.610071 1513.529237 4543.226012
2025-06-15 59.575875 98.117604 168.254366 318.062635 671.869186 1614.442410 5139.529094
2025-06-22 56.443032 93.765824 162.501802 311.633432 671.524663 1660.041744 5544.322886
2025-06-29 54.083533 90.694421 159.003736 309.772778 682.390428 1741.371450 6143.305592
2025-07-06 50.548017 85.238699 150.468013 295.919513 660.577266 1718.588272 6271.562228
2025-07-13 49.832708 85.041358 152.355428 305.814368 702.741520 1908.100099 7515.582198
2025-07-20 49.388447 85.324065 155.218739 318.274503 754.106273 2143.759425 9187.786026